{"pk":25593,"title":"Convincing people of the Monty Hall Dilemma answer:\nThe impact of solution type and individual differences","subtitle":null,"abstract":"The Monty Hall Dilemma (MHD) is a classic brain teaser that\neven mathematicians appear to consistently answer\nincorrectly, and when the correct solution is presented people\nremain unconvinced. We examined how convincing were\nthree solution types: a simple statement of the solution, a\nguided diagram solution, or simulated trials. Participants were\ngiven the MHD, followed by one of the three types of\nsolutions, then we measured their level of conviction and\ntheir numeracy, Cognitive Reflection (CR), Need for\nCognition (NFC), and Openness. Overall, both guided\ndiagrams and simulated trials led to higher conviction\ncompared to a simple solution statement. Higher numeracy\nand higher CR were associated with lower conviction after\nthe simple solution; furthermore higher numeracy tended to\nhelp more in the simulation condition, whereas higher CR\nhelped more in the guided condition. Therefore the\npersuasiveness of a solution depended both on its nature and\ncharacteristics of individual reasoners.","language":"eng","license":{"name":"","short_name":"","text":null,"url":""},"keywords":[{"word":"Reasoning"},{"word":"Monty Hall Dilemma"},{"word":"individual\ndifferences"},{"word":"cognitive reflection"},{"word":"belief revision"}],"section":"Papers","is_remote":true,"remote_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/2gq1h108","frozenauthors":[{"first_name":"Joanne","middle_name":"","last_name":"Lee","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of Sydney","department":""},{"first_name":"Bruce","middle_name":"D","last_name":"Burns","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of Sydney","department":""}],"date_submitted":null,"date_accepted":null,"date_published":"2015-01-01T18:00:00Z","render_galley":null,"galleys":[{"label":"PDF","type":"pdf","path":"https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/25593/galley/15217/download/"}]}