{"pk":25925,"title":"Understanding the Cone of Uncertainty: Non-expert interpretations of hurricane\nforecast uncertainty visualizations","subtitle":null,"abstract":"Uncertainty represented in visualizations is often ignored or misunderstood by the non-expert user. The National\nHurricane Center displays hurricane forecasts using a track forecast cone, depicting the expected track of the storm and the uncertainty\nin the forecast. Our goal was to test whether different graphical displays of a hurricane forecast containing uncertainty\nwould influence a decision about storm characteristics.\nParticipants viewed one of five different visualization types. Three varied the currently used forecast cone, one presented\na track with no uncertainty, and one presented an ensemble of multiple possible hurricane tracks. Results show that individuals\nmake different decisions using uncertainty visualizations with different visual properties, demonstrating that basic visual\nproperties must be considered in visualization design and communication.","language":"eng","license":{"name":"","short_name":"","text":null,"url":""},"keywords":[],"section":"Member Abstracts","is_remote":true,"remote_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/96s9t7g5","frozenauthors":[{"first_name":"Ian","middle_name":"T","last_name":"Ruginski","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of Utah","department":""},{"first_name":"Alexander","middle_name":"P","last_name":"Boone","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of California Santa Barbara","department":""},{"first_name":"Lace","middle_name":"M.K.","last_name":"Padilla","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of Utah","department":""},{"first_name":"Mary","middle_name":"","last_name":"Hegarty","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of California Santa Barbara","department":""},{"first_name":"William","middle_name":"B","last_name":"Thompson","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of Utah","department":""},{"first_name":"Donald","middle_name":"H","last_name":"House","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of Clemson","department":""},{"first_name":"Sarah","middle_name":"H","last_name":"Creem-Regehr","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of Utah","department":""}],"date_submitted":null,"date_accepted":null,"date_published":"2015-01-01T18:00:00Z","render_galley":null,"galleys":[{"label":"PDF","type":"pdf","path":"https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/25925/galley/15549/download/"}]}