{"pk":26875,"title":"Modeling transfer of high-order uncertain information","subtitle":null,"abstract":"Complex uncertainty expressions such as probably likely andcertainly possible naturally occur in everyday conversations.However, they received much less attention in the literaturethan simple ones. We propose a probabilistic model of the useand interpretation of complex uncertainty expressions based onthe assumption that their predominant function is to communi-cate factual information about the world, and that further layersof uncertainty are pragmatically inferred. We collected empir-ical data on the use and interpretation of these expressions anduse it for detailed model criticism.","language":"eng","license":{"name":"","short_name":"","text":null,"url":""},"keywords":[{"word":"uncertainty; probability; experimental pragmatics;computational modeling"}],"section":"Talks: Papers","is_remote":true,"remote_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7gv1393g","frozenauthors":[{"first_name":"Michele","middle_name":"","last_name":"Herbstritt","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of T ̈ubingen","department":""},{"first_name":"Michael","middle_name":"","last_name":"Franke","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of T ̈ubingen","department":""}],"date_submitted":null,"date_accepted":null,"date_published":"2017-01-01T18:00:00Z","render_galley":null,"galleys":[{"label":"PDF","type":"pdf","path":"https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/26875/galley/16511/download/"}]}