{"pk":27224,"title":"A Toolbox of Methods for Probabilistic Inference","subtitle":null,"abstract":"We propose that probabilistic inference is supported by a men-tal toolbox that includes sampling and symmetry-based rea-soning in addition to several other methods. To flesh out thisclaim we consider a spatial reasoning task and describe a num-ber of different methods for solving the task. Several recentprocess-level accounts of probabilistic inference have focusedon sampling, but we present an experiment that suggests thatsampling alone does not adequately capture people’s infer-ences about our task.","language":"eng","license":{"name":"","short_name":"","text":null,"url":""},"keywords":[{"word":"probability judgment; probability estimation; rea-soning; sampling; symmetry"}],"section":"Posters: Papers","is_remote":true,"remote_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/25f5s4rz","frozenauthors":[{"first_name":"Charles","middle_name":"","last_name":"Kemp","name_suffix":"","institution":"Carnegie Mellon University","department":""},{"first_name":"Caleb","middle_name":"","last_name":"Eddy","name_suffix":"","institution":"Carnegie Mellon University","department":""}],"date_submitted":null,"date_accepted":null,"date_published":"2017-01-01T18:00:00Z","render_galley":null,"galleys":[{"label":"PDF","type":"pdf","path":"https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/27224/galley/16860/download/"}]}