{"pk":27316,"title":"Abductive, Causal, and Counterfactual ConditionalsUnder Incomplete Probabilistic Knowledge","subtitle":null,"abstract":"We study abductive, causal, and non-causal conditionals inindicative and counterfactual formulations using probabilis-tic truth table tasks under incomplete probabilistic knowledge(N = 80). We frame the task as a probability-logical inferenceproblem. The most frequently observed response type acrossall conditions was a class of conditional event interpretationsof conditionals; it was followed by conjunction interpreta-tions. An interesting minority of participants neglected someof the relevant imprecision involved in the premises when in-ferring lower or upper probability bounds on the target con-ditional/counterfactual (“halfway responses”). We discuss theresults in the light of coherence-based probability logic and thenew paradigm psychology of reasoning","language":"eng","license":{"name":"","short_name":"","text":null,"url":""},"keywords":[{"word":"abductive conditionals; causal conditionals; coun-terfactuals; indicative conditionals; psychological experiment;uncertain argument form; probabilistic truth table task"}],"section":"Posters: Papers","is_remote":true,"remote_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7j66f9kd","frozenauthors":[{"first_name":"Niki","middle_name":"","last_name":"Pfeifer","name_suffix":"","institution":"LMU Munich","department":""},{"first_name":"Leena","middle_name":"","last_name":"Tulkki","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of Helsinki","department":""}],"date_submitted":null,"date_accepted":null,"date_published":"2017-01-01T18:00:00Z","render_galley":null,"galleys":[{"label":"PDF","type":"pdf","path":"https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/27316/galley/16952/download/"}]}