{"pk":27431,"title":"Desires influence 4- to 6-year-old children’s probabilistic judgments","subtitle":null,"abstract":"Research on wishful thinking suggests that desires bias adult’s probability judgments. Previous research has yet toexplore if this extends to young children. In Experiment 1, 260 4- and 6-year-olds in the U.S. and Peru played a card game,where selecting a desirable card was unlikely. In Experiment 2, 200 4- to 6-year-old children were shown a bag of plasticeggs; a few contained desirable prizes. Children were asked to make predictions about what card / egg would be randomlyselected. Answers were compared to control conditions in which probability was comparable, but children had no reason todesire a specific outcome. In control conditions, children tended to state that the majority card/ egg would be selected. In theexperimental conditions, children were more likely to state that the desirable (and improbable) card/ egg would be selected.Results suggest that a desire bias extends to children as young as 4.","language":"eng","license":{"name":"","short_name":"","text":null,"url":""},"keywords":[],"section":"Posters: Papers","is_remote":true,"remote_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/87p3b6h5","frozenauthors":[{"first_name":"Adrienne","middle_name":"","last_name":"Wente","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of California, Berkeley","department":""},{"first_name":"Mariel","middle_name":"","last_name":"Goddu","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of California, Berkeley","department":""},{"first_name":"Elyanah","middle_name":"","last_name":"Posner","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of California, Berkeley","department":""},{"first_name":"Teresa","middle_name":"","last_name":"Garcia","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of California, Berkeley","department":""},{"first_name":"Mar ́ia","middle_name":"Fern ́andez","last_name":"Flecha","name_suffix":"","institution":"Pontificia Universidad Cat ́olica del Per ́u","department":""},{"first_name":"Alison","middle_name":"","last_name":"Gopnik","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of California, Berkeley","department":""}],"date_submitted":null,"date_accepted":null,"date_published":"2017-01-01T18:00:00Z","render_galley":null,"galleys":[{"label":"PDF","type":"pdf","path":"https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/27431/galley/17067/download/"}]}