{"pk":27893,"title":"Assessing Singular Causation: The Role of Casual Latencies","subtitle":null,"abstract":"Singular causation queries require an assessment of whethera singular co-occurrence of two events c and e was causal orsimply coincidental. The current study builds on our previ-ous research (Stephan & Waldmann, 2018) in which we pro-posed a computational model of singular causation judgments.The model highlights that singular causation judgments needto take into account the power of the target cause C and ofalternative causes A, as well as the possibility of preemption.What was missing was a detailed model allowing us to esti-mate the probability of preemption of a target cause by thealternative causes. The present research fills this gap by elab-orating the temporal assumptions that might enter assessmentsof singular causation. We focus on assumptions about tempo-ral precedence between target and alternative causes, with aspecific focus on assumptions about causal latency. We reportthe results of two new experiments supporting the model.","language":"eng","license":{"name":"","short_name":"","text":null,"url":""},"keywords":[{"word":"Singular causation"},{"word":"casual attribution"},{"word":"preemption"},{"word":"time"},{"word":"Casual reasoning"},{"word":"Computational Modeling"}],"section":"Publication-based-Talks","is_remote":true,"remote_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/5mv0m23d","frozenauthors":[{"first_name":"Simon","middle_name":"","last_name":"Stephan","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of Gottingen","department":""},{"first_name":"Ralf","middle_name":"","last_name":"Mayrhofer","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of Gottingen","department":""},{"first_name":"Michael","middle_name":"R","last_name":"Waldmann","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of Gottingen","department":""}],"date_submitted":null,"date_accepted":null,"date_published":"2018-01-01T18:00:00Z","render_galley":null,"galleys":[{"label":"PDF","type":"pdf","path":"https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/27893/galley/17531/download/"}]}