{"pk":27995,"title":"Putting the Probability Heuristics Model to the Test","subtitle":null,"abstract":"In the last decades there was a shift from more logically in-spired theories describing human reasoning towards the newparadigm of probabilistic approaches. One of the most promi-nent models for syllogistic reasoning is the Probability Heuris-tics Model (PHM) which has been formulated based on fiveheuristics. The contribution of this article is: (i) to provide ananalysis of different formalizations of the PHM, (ii) to exam-ine the impact of each heuristic, and (iii) to identify possibleviolations of underlying assumptions in present implementa-tions. A systematic analysis of the model parameters shows asurprising variation in parameter values across experiments. ABayesian modeling approach explains this variance of param-eters. Implications for probabilistic approaches are discussed.","language":"eng","license":{"name":"","short_name":"","text":null,"url":""},"keywords":[{"word":"Syllogistic Reasoning; New Paradigm of Reason-ing; Cognitive Modeling; Heuristics; Bayesian; PHM"}],"section":"Publication-based-Talks","is_remote":true,"remote_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/0h56z53d","frozenauthors":[{"first_name":"Lukas","middle_name":"","last_name":"Elflein","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of Freiburg","department":""},{"first_name":"Marco","middle_name":"","last_name":"Ragni","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of Freiburg","department":""}],"date_submitted":null,"date_accepted":null,"date_published":"2018-01-01T18:00:00Z","render_galley":null,"galleys":[{"label":"PDF","type":"pdf","path":"https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/27995/galley/17634/download/"}]}