{"pk":28544,"title":"Limits on the Use of Simulation in Physical Reasoning","subtitle":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we describe three experiments involving simplephysical judgments and predictions, and argue their results aregenerally inconsistent with three core commitments of proba-bilistic mental simulation theory (PMST). The first experimentshows that people routinely fail to track the spatio-temporalidentity of objects. The second experiment shows that peopleoften incorrectly reverse the order of consequential physicalevents when making physical predictions. Finally, we demon-strate a physical version of the conjunction fallacy where par-ticipants rate the probability of two joint events as more likelyto occur than a constituent event of that set. These results high-light the limitations or boundary conditions of simulation the-ory.","language":"eng","license":{"name":"","short_name":"","text":null,"url":""},"keywords":[{"word":"intuitive physics; mental simulation; inference;conjunction fallacy"}],"section":"Papers with Oral Presentations","is_remote":true,"remote_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/2rs3b62r","frozenauthors":[{"first_name":"Ethan","middle_name":"","last_name":"Ludwin-Peery","name_suffix":"","institution":"New York University","department":""},{"first_name":"Neil","middle_name":"R.","last_name":"Bramley","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of Edinburgh","department":""},{"first_name":"Ernest","middle_name":"","last_name":"Davis","name_suffix":"","institution":"New York University","department":""},{"first_name":"Todd","middle_name":"M.","last_name":"Gureckis","name_suffix":"","institution":"New York University","department":""}],"date_submitted":null,"date_accepted":null,"date_published":"2019-01-01T18:00:00Z","render_galley":null,"galleys":[{"label":"PDF","type":"pdf","path":"https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/28544/galley/18415/download/"}]}