{"pk":38198,"title":"Modeling the large-scale demographic changes of the Old World","subtitle":null,"abstract":"I investigate the predictive behavior of a simple demographic model for agrarian empires in several Old World geographies between 1500BCE and 1500CE. I estimate and bound key model parameters from two historical datasets. I find that quasi-uniform carrying capacities and two net birth rates suffice to predict most Old World agrarian empire demographics in this period. Analysis suggests that a doubling of agricultural intensification occurred throughout most of the Old World circa 1000CE.","language":"en","license":null,"keywords":[{"word":"demographics"},{"word":"Birth rate"},{"word":"carrying capacity"}],"section":"Article","is_remote":true,"remote_url":"https://escholarship.org/uc/item/4vj6k3bm","frozenauthors":[{"first_name":"James","middle_name":"","last_name":"Bennett","name_suffix":"","institution":"University of Washington","department":"None"}],"date_submitted":"2015-05-28T15:47:34Z","date_accepted":"2015-05-28T15:47:34Z","date_published":"2015-06-30T07:00:00Z","render_galley":null,"galleys":[{"label":"","type":"pdf","path":"https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cliodynamics/article/38198/galley/28753/download/"}]}