Preprints
Filtering by Subject: Probability
Bootstrapped high quantile estimation --- An experiment with scarce precipitation data
Published: 2018-02-25
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Probability, Statistics and Probability
This paper details team SUTD’s effort when participating in the “Prediction of extremal precipitation” challenge. We propose a framework that combines the generalized Pareto distribution, a bootstrap resampling scheme and inverse distance weights to capture spatial dependence. Our method reduces the quantile loss functions by 55.1% as compared to a naive benchmark, and shows improvement across [...]
Distal turbidites reveal a common distribution for large (>0.1 km3) submarine landslide recurrence
Published: 2017-10-26
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Probability, Sedimentology, Statistics and Probability
Submarine landslides can be far larger than those on land, and are one of the most important processes for moving sediment across our planet. Landslides that are fast enough to disintegrate can generate potentially very hazardous tsunamis, and produce long run-out turbidity currents that break strategically important cable networks. It is important to understand their frequency and triggers. We [...]