Article Instance

HTTP 200 OK
Allow: GET
Content-Type: application/json
Vary: Accept

{
    "pk": 24026,
    "title": "Misfortunes never come singly:  Reflections of the environment in a proverb",
    "subtitle": null,
    "abstract": "“Misfortunes never come singly” is a saying common in different languages and historical contexts. Could this proverb reflect more than irrational superstitions? We draw from two frameworks, the fast-and-frugal heuristics approach to decision making, and the rational analysis of cognition. The former prompts us to conceptualize the proverb as a simple but smart heuristic that may be adapted to statistical regularities in decision-making environments, and the latter offers a method for studying such environments. Analyzing the pattern of humanitarian disasters between 2000 and 2022, we find that the probability of observing a new disaster in a country increases with the frequency of new disasters observed in the previous 100 days in that country. We propose a research agenda to study the ecological rationality of proverbs. Our results are also potentially relevant to humanitarian analysts.",
    "language": "eng",
    "license": {
        "name": "",
        "short_name": "",
        "text": null,
        "url": ""
    },
    "keywords": [
        {
            "word": "Other; Psychology; Cognitive architectures; Decision making; Other; Computational Modeling"
        }
    ],
    "section": "Papers with Poster Presentation",
    "is_remote": true,
    "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/4sm473zh",
    "frozenauthors": [
        {
            "first_name": "Alex",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Odlum",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of Lausanne",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Julian",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Marewski",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of Lausanne",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Joerg",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Dietz",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of Lausanne",
            "department": ""
        }
    ],
    "date_submitted": null,
    "date_accepted": null,
    "date_published": "2024-01-01T11:00:00-07:00",
    "render_galley": null,
    "galleys": [
        {
            "label": "PDF",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/24026/galley/13620/download/"
        },
        {
            "label": "PDF",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/24026/galley/21366/download/"
        }
    ]
}