Article Instance

HTTP 200 OK
Allow: GET
Content-Type: application/json
Vary: Accept

{
    "pk": 25531,
    "title": "Why do people fail to consider alternative hypotheses in judgments under\nuncertainty?",
    "subtitle": null,
    "abstract": "Two experiments examined theoretical accounts of why\npeople fail to consider alternative hypotheses in judgments\nunder uncertainty. Experiment 1 found that a majority of\nparticipants failed to spontaneously search for information\nabout an alternative hypothesis, even when this required\nminimal effort. This bias was reduced when a specific\nalternative was mentioned before search. Experiment 2\nshowed that when participants were given the likelihoods of\nthe data given a focal hypothesis p(D|H) and an alternative\nhypothesis p(D|¬H), they gave estimates of p(H|D) that were\nconsistent with Bayesian principles. The results show that\nneglect of the alternative hypothesis typically occurs at the\ninitial stage of problem representation. However judgments\nare more consistent with Bayesian norms when they involve\nutilizing information about a given alternative",
    "language": "eng",
    "license": {
        "name": "",
        "short_name": "",
        "text": null,
        "url": ""
    },
    "keywords": [
        {
            "word": "Judgment under uncertainty; Bayesian inference;\nIntuitive probability"
        }
    ],
    "section": "Papers",
    "is_remote": true,
    "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6fh7z04d",
    "frozenauthors": [
        {
            "first_name": "Brett",
            "middle_name": "K",
            "last_name": "Hayes",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of New South Wales",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Guy",
            "middle_name": "E",
            "last_name": "Hawkins",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of Amsterdam",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Ben",
            "middle_name": "R",
            "last_name": "Newell",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of New South Wales",
            "department": ""
        }
    ],
    "date_submitted": null,
    "date_accepted": null,
    "date_published": "2015-01-01T18:00:00Z",
    "render_galley": null,
    "galleys": [
        {
            "label": "PDF",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/25531/galley/15155/download/"
        }
    ]
}