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{ "pk": 25682, "title": "Upsetting the contingency table: Causal induction over sequences of point events", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "Data continuously stream into our minds, guiding our learn-\ning and inference with no trial delimiters to parse our experi-\nence. These data can take on a variety of forms, but research\non causal learning has emphasized discrete contingency data\nover continuous sequences of events. We present a formal\nframework for modeling causal inferences about sequences\nof point events, based on Bayesian inference over nonhomo-\ngeneous Poisson processes (NHPPs). We show how to apply\nthis framework to successfully model data from an experiment\nby Lagnado and Speekenbrink (2010) which examined human\nlearning from sequences of point events.", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [ { "word": "causal inference; continuous time; stochastic pro-\ncesses; Bayesian models" } ], "section": "Papers", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/0cr5s8z1", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "Michael", "middle_name": "D", "last_name": "Pacer", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "UCB", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Thomas", "middle_name": "L", "last_name": "Griffiths", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "UCB", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "2015-01-01T18:00:00Z", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/25682/galley/15306/download/" } ] }