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{ "pk": 25724, "title": "Helping Students Understand Posterior Probabilities:\nResearch with a Digital Learning Environment on the Monty Hall Dilemma", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "When initially confronted with the Monty Hall dilemma\n(MHD), people show a very strong tendency to stick with\ntheir initial choice, although switching maximizes winning\nchances. Previous research demonstrated that certain\ninterventions helped participants to discover and apply the\noptimal strategy, but generally failed to increase participants’\nunderstanding of the MHD solution. An exception on the\nlatter finding is DiBattista’s (2011) digital learning\nenvironment study, reporting that the majority of participants\nwho used the learning environment learned to understand the\nMHD solution. However, a major shortcoming was\nDiBattista’s (2011) methodology, which did not allow to infer\ncausal relations and to conclude which (combination of)\nmanipulation(s) was most important for participants’\nunderstanding of the MHD solution. The aim of the present\nstudy was to fill this research gap by conducting a controlled\nrandomized experiment with an analogous digital learning\nenvironment. Participants were high-school students between\n16 and 19 years old. The results showed that receiving\nexplanation about the MHD solution was the most important\nmanipulation to improve understanding. Implications for\neducation in (posterior) probability are discussed", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [ { "word": "Monty Hall dilemma; probability; posterior\nprobability; digital learning environment; experience-based\nlearning; traditional learning" } ], "section": "Papers", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/1268x3sg", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "Lore", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Saenen", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "KU Leuven", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Mieke", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Heyvaert", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "KU Leuven", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Wim", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Van Dooren", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "KU Leuven", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Patrick", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Onghena", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "KU Leuven", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "2015-01-01T18:00:00Z", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/25724/galley/15348/download/" } ] }