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{
    "pk": 25726,
    "title": "Some Probability Judgments may Rely on Complexity Assessments",
    "subtitle": null,
    "abstract": "Human beings do assess probabilities. Their judgments are\nhowever sometimes at odds with probability theory. One\npossibility is that human cognition is imperfect or flawed in the\nprobability domain, showing biases and errors. Another\npossibility, that we explore here, is that human probability\njudgments do not rely on a weak version of probability\ncalculus, but rather on complexity computations. This\nhypothesis is worth exploring, not only because it predicts some\nof the probability ‘biases’, but also because it explains human\njudgments of uncertainty in cases where probability calculus\ncannot be applied. We designed such a case in which the use of\ncomplexity when judging uncertainty is almost transparent",
    "language": "eng",
    "license": {
        "name": "",
        "short_name": "",
        "text": null,
        "url": ""
    },
    "keywords": [
        {
            "word": "probability"
        },
        {
            "word": "Kolmogorov complexity"
        },
        {
            "word": "simplicity"
        },
        {
            "word": "unexpectedness."
        }
    ],
    "section": "Papers",
    "is_remote": true,
    "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7k59h1g8",
    "frozenauthors": [
        {
            "first_name": "Antoine",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Saillenfest",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "Telecom Paris",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Jean-Louis",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Dessalles",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "Telecom Paris",
            "department": ""
        }
    ],
    "date_submitted": null,
    "date_accepted": null,
    "date_published": "2015-01-01T18:00:00Z",
    "render_galley": null,
    "galleys": [
        {
            "label": "PDF",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/25726/galley/15350/download/"
        }
    ]
}