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{
    "pk": 25997,
    "title": "Individual Differences in Base-rate Neglect: A Computational Dual Process Model",
    "subtitle": null,
    "abstract": "Dual-process theories (DPT) of cognition posit that performance differences in reasoning stem from an interplay\nbetween heuristics-based processing (i.e., System 1) and more controlled, rule-based processing (System 2). Emerging evidence\nsuggests that solving classic base-rate problems via Bayesian inference depends on adequately inhibiting the prepotent\nrepresentations elicited by System 1 (De Neys, 2014). We propose that DPTs may benefit probabilistic models of reasoning by\nproviding a framework on which to map individual difference predictions (e.g., how inhibitory capacity, prior knowledge, and\nmotivation influence adherence to probabilistic rules). We present a dual-process computational model that implements various\nnormative (i.e., Bayesian) and non-normative rules, which in turn are probabilistically fired based on a functional relationship\nbetween relative (de)activations of each system and variability in agents’ inhibitory capacity and motivation. Simulation results\nmap onto behavioral data and replicate a variety of base-rate performance patterns, including base-rate neglect",
    "language": "eng",
    "license": {
        "name": "",
        "short_name": "",
        "text": null,
        "url": ""
    },
    "keywords": [],
    "section": "Member Abstracts",
    "is_remote": true,
    "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/9065h072",
    "frozenauthors": [
        {
            "first_name": "Carlos",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Salas",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of Ilinois at Chicago",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Tim",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Sparer",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of Ilinois at Chicago",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Sabrina",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Velez",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of Ilinois at Chicago",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Thomas",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Griffin",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of Ilinois at Chicago",
            "department": ""
        }
    ],
    "date_submitted": null,
    "date_accepted": null,
    "date_published": "2015-01-01T18:00:00Z",
    "render_galley": null,
    "galleys": [
        {
            "label": "PDF",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/25997/galley/15621/download/"
        }
    ]
}