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{ "pk": 26657, "title": "Data Shows Human Behavior is Not Random, period.", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "Simulations of many people’s decisions are used in public health and safety as well as to support policymaking.These simulations rely on creditable models of individual decision-making. An obvious approach is to develop a list of plausibleactions and to then evaluate the benefits of each in the current situation to make the decision. However, such evaluations canbe implausible, e.g., zero-intelligence traders in economics, or impracticable because the approach is computationally intensivefor large-scale simulations. As a result, a commonly used approach is to select randomly from the plausible actions. Withoutdata on how people would actually chose, a random number from a uniform distribution over the plausible options is often usedto represent the unknown cognition. However, we claim that substituting a uniform random distribution for how people makedecisions is making very strong claims about the process and we will present data demonstrating it is simply wrong.", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [], "section": "Member Abstracts", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/5kb7x33x", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "William", "middle_name": "G.", "last_name": "Kennedy", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "George Mason University", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "2016-01-01T18:00:00Z", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/26657/galley/16293/download/" } ] }