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{
    "pk": 27425,
    "title": "Rational and Semi-Rational Explanations of the Conjunction Fallacy:\nA Polycausal Approach",
    "subtitle": null,
    "abstract": "Conjunction fallacies (CF) have not only been a major\nobstacle in justifying the rationality of a Bayesian theory of\nbelief update; they have also inspired a variety of theories on\nprobability judgment and logical predication. Here we provide\nan overview of Bayesian logic (BL) as rational formulation of\na pattern-based class of conjunction fallacies. BL is described\nhere as a generalization of Bayesian Occam’s razor. BL\ncaptures the idea that probabilities are sometimes used not\nextensionally but intensionally, determining the probabilistic\nadequacy of ideal logical patterns. It is emphasized that BL is\na class of models that depend on representations and the mea-\nnings of logical connectives. We discuss open questions and\nlimits of BL. We also briefly discuss whether other theories of\nthe CF may be good supplementary theories of CFs (and\npredication) as well, if linked to functional explanations.",
    "language": "eng",
    "license": {
        "name": "",
        "short_name": "",
        "text": null,
        "url": ""
    },
    "keywords": [
        {
            "word": "probability judgments; biases; conjunction\nfallacy; inclusion fallacy; inductive logics; intensional logics;\nBayesian logics; predication; strong sampling; categories;\nLockean Thesis; rationality deba"
        }
    ],
    "section": "Posters: Papers",
    "is_remote": true,
    "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/1zp3952f",
    "frozenauthors": [
        {
            "first_name": "Momme",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "von Sydow",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of Munich",
            "department": ""
        }
    ],
    "date_submitted": null,
    "date_accepted": null,
    "date_published": "2017-01-01T18:00:00Z",
    "render_galley": null,
    "galleys": [
        {
            "label": "PDF",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/27425/galley/17061/download/"
        }
    ]
}