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{ "pk": 27842, "title": "Redefining heuristics in multi-attribute decisions: A probabilistic framework", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "In this paper, we highlight the shortfall of conventionally de-scribed heuristics in multi-attribute decision theory, and pro-pose recasting these heuristics within a novel probabilisticframework. This framework is based on defining a psycho-logical feature space, with rule-based heuristics represented asprototypical representations within this space. We provide var-ious examples of meaningful heuristics that can be constructedunder this representation, including recasting probabilistic ver-sions of popular heuristics such as take-the-best. Next, wepropose an evaluation framework to measure the effectivenessof a consideration set of heuristics. This framework measureswhether the set of heuristics are sufficient to describe, predictand infer strategy selection and learning behavior. We proposethat this is a step towards a robust framework within whichmodels of strategy selection and learning should be evaluated.The framework aspires to develop a consideration set of heuris-tics that can be represented as a mathematically well-posed in-ference problem. We show that the heuristics redefined underour probabilistic framework generally perform better than con-ventional heuristics under this evaluation. We conclude with adiscussion on the possible applications of this framework.", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [], "section": "Publication-based-Talks", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/17j9p70x", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "Percy", "middle_name": "K", "last_name": "Mistry", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "UC Irvine", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Jennifer", "middle_name": "S", "last_name": "Trueblood", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "Vanderbilt", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "2018-01-01T18:00:00Z", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/27842/galley/17481/download/" } ] }