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{ "pk": 27969, "title": "Illusory causation and outcome density effects with a continuous and variable outcome", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "Illusory causation is a consistent error in human learning inwhich people perceive two unrelated events as being causallyrelated. Causal illusions are greatly increased when the targetoutcome occurs frequently rather than rarely, a characteristicknown as the outcome density bias. Unlike most experimentaldesigns using binary outcomes, real-world problems to whichillusory causation is most applicable (e.g. beliefs aboutineffective health therapies) involve continuous and variableconsequences that are not readily classifiable as the presenceor absence of a salient event. This study used a causallearning task framed as a medical trial to investigate whetheroutcome density effects emerged when using a continuousand variable outcome that appeared on every trial.Experiment 1 compared the effects of using fixed outcomevalues (i.e. consistent low and high magnitudes) versusvariable outcome values (i.e. low and high magnitudesvarying around two means in a bimodal distribution).Experiment 2 compared positively skewed (low density) andnegatively skewed (high density) continuous distributions.These conditions yielded comparable outcome density effects,providing empirical support for the relevance of the outcomedensity bias to real-world situations in which outcomes arenot binary but occur to differing degrees.", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [ { "word": "illusory causation; outcome density; casual learning; contingency learning" } ], "section": "Publication-based-Talks", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/3bq4b6pq", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "Julie", "middle_name": "Y.L.", "last_name": "Chow", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "University of Sydney", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Hilary", "middle_name": "J", "last_name": "Don", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "U of Sydney", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Ben", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Colagiuri", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "U of Sydney", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Evan", "middle_name": "J", "last_name": "Livesey", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "U of Sydney", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "2018-01-01T18:00:00Z", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/27969/galley/17607/download/" } ] }