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{ "pk": 28052, "title": "Learning Variability from Experience", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "Leading theories of risky choice predict that decision makersare sensitive to the variability of payoff distributions. Yet, lit-tle is known about how experience affects perceived variabil-ity. Existing empirical research on risky choice provides onlyinconclusive evidence about this issue because choices are notonly affected by perceived variability but also perceived valueand (unobserved) risk preferences. In re-analyses of experi-mental data and survey data from two nationally representativepanels, we show that perceived variability strongly depends onsample variability. In a new experiment, we also demonstratethat perceived variability systematically depends on samplesize, a result consistent with the predictions of a recent the-oretical paper by the authors (Konovalova & Le Mens, 2017).", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [ { "word": "Experience" }, { "word": "learning" }, { "word": "Risky Choice" }, { "word": "Sampling" }, { "word": "variability" } ], "section": "Publication-based-Talks", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7nj606x3", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "Elizaveta", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Konovalova", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "Max Planck Institute for Human Development", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Gael", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Le Mens", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "Universitat Pompeu Fabra", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "2018-01-01T18:00:00Z", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/28052/galley/17691/download/" } ] }