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{
    "pk": 28308,
    "title": "Modeling dynamics of suspense and surprise",
    "subtitle": null,
    "abstract": "Activities such as watching a sports match and reading a novel often provoke suspense and surprise (S&S). Computation-ally, we hypothesize that these feelings derive from the dynamics of our beliefs. In our experiment, participants watch realvideotaped volleyball games or play a card game, where their belief dynamics (e.g. chance of winning) can be affected byboth the stimuli and background information (e.g. game rules and prior beliefs about the teams / the card deck). FollowingEly et al (2015) we formalize instantaneous suspense as a function of expected variance in future belief, and surprise asrelated to the magnitude of belief changes. Through probabilistic model we generate point-by-point predictions of S&S.We find that ratings of S&S for the same games depend on experimentally manipulated in qualitative agreement with ourmodel, but we also identify several situations where the model fails.",
    "language": "eng",
    "license": {
        "name": "",
        "short_name": "",
        "text": null,
        "url": ""
    },
    "keywords": [],
    "section": "Abstracts-Posters",
    "is_remote": true,
    "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/30p2d194",
    "frozenauthors": [
        {
            "first_name": "Zhiwei",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Li",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "New York University",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Neil",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Bramley",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "New York University",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Todd",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Gureckis",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "New York University",
            "department": ""
        }
    ],
    "date_submitted": null,
    "date_accepted": null,
    "date_published": "2018-01-01T18:00:00Z",
    "render_galley": null,
    "galleys": [
        {
            "label": "PDF",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/28308/galley/17981/download/"
        }
    ]
}