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{ "pk": 28569, "title": "A Resource-Rational Process-Level Account of the St. Petersburg Paradox", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "The St. Petersburg paradox is a centuries-old philosophicalpuzzle concerning a lottery with infinite expected payoff,on which people are, nevertheless, willing to place only asmall bid. Despite many attempts and several proposals, nogenerally-accepted resolution is yet at hand. In this work, wepresent the first resource-rational process-level explanation ofthis paradox, demonstrating that it can be accounted for by avariant of normative expected-utility-maximization which ac-knowledges cognitive limitations. Specifically, we show thatNobandegani et al.’s (2018) metacognitively-rational model,sample-based expected utility (SbEU), can account for majorexperimental findings on this paradox. Crucially, our resolu-tion is consistent with two empirically well-supported assump-tions: (1) people use only a few samples in probabilistic judg-ments and decision-making, and (2) people tend to overesti-mate the probability of extreme events in their judgment.", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [ { "word": "St. Petersburg Paradox; bounded rationality;resource-rational process models; expected utility theory; in-ference by sampling" } ], "section": "Papers with Oral Presentations", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/2c90v6k5", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "Ardavan", "middle_name": "S.", "last_name": "Nobandegani", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "McGill University", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Kevin", "middle_name": "da Silva", "last_name": "Castanheira", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "McGill University", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Thomas", "middle_name": "R.", "last_name": "Shultz", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "McGill University", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "A. Ross", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Otto", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "McGill University", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "2019-01-01T18:00:00Z", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/28569/galley/18440/download/" } ] }