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{ "pk": 28651, "title": "A computational model of feature formation, event prediction, and attentionswitching", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "In this paper we present a model of three central aspects ofprobabilistic cognition: event prediction, feature formation,and attention allocation. While most models of probabilisticreasoning take a parameter estimation and error minimisationapproach (sometimes referred to as ‘predictive coding’, and of-ten described in terms of Bayesian updating), our model takesa contrasting frequentist hypothesis-testing approach. Thischoice is motivated by a series of recent results suggesting thatpeople’s probabilistic reasoning follows frequentist probabilitytheory. In simulation tests we demonstrate that this frequentistmodel, in which predictive features are formed by a process ofnull hypothesis significance testing, can give a successful ac-count of event prediction and attentional switching behaviour.", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [], "section": "Papers with Poster Presentations", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6s16n7qn", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "Eman", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Awad", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "University College Dublin", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Fintan", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Costello", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "University College Dublin", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "2019-01-01T18:00:00Z", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/28651/galley/18522/download/" } ] }