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{ "pk": 29217, "title": "Drawing conclusions from spatial coincidences: a cumulative clustering account", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "Spatial coincidences allow us to infer the presence of latent causes in the world. For instance, an unusually large clusterof ants allows us to infer the presence of a food source. The leading cognitive model for such inferences is Bayesian,but the Bayesian algorithm is computationally taxing. Humans likely employ a more efficient, approximative algorithm.To characterize the cognitive algorithms used, we had subjects judge whether a set of dots was drawn from a uniformdistribution or from a mixture of a uniform and a gaussian source (tending to produce clusters). Responses systematicallydeviate from Bayesian optimality: as the number of dots increase, subjects more often report a latent cause where noneexists. The bias is accounted for by a Bayesian clustering algorithm that cumulatively considers the next-nearest dot to aputative source. This finding helps characterize our tendency to perceive causal patterns where none exist.", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [], "section": "Member Abstracts", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6fx2922n", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "Jennifer", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Lee", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "New York University", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Wei", "middle_name": "Ji", "last_name": "Ma", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "New York University", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "2019-01-01T21:00:00+03:00", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/29217/galley/19088/download/" } ] }