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{ "pk": 29244, "title": "The Effect of Alternative Outcomes on Perceived Counterfactual Closeness", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "Assessing the likelihood that a counterfactual event would have happened involves contrasting a factual outcome withthe counterfactual alternative. In many situations, the number of alternatives will influence the perceived closeness of aparticular alternative. For example, losers of a game in which participants guess which door conceals a prize will likelybelieve they were closer to winning when there were three doors compared to six. This reflects accurate probabilisticreasoning because more doors will be associated with a lower probability of winning. However, we test whether thenumber of alternatives has a unique influence on beliefs about counterfactual closeness. Experiments 1 and 2 show that,even when probability is held fixed, people believe counterfactual closeness decreases when there are more alternatives.", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [], "section": "Member Abstracts", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/640986kx", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "Matthew", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Myers", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "Northwestern University", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Lance", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Rips", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "Northwestern University", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "2019-01-01T18:00:00Z", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/29244/galley/19115/download/" } ] }