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{
    "pk": 29411,
    "title": "A rational model of sequential self-assessment",
    "subtitle": null,
    "abstract": "People’s assessment of their ability varies in whether it is mea-sured once following a task or sequentially via confidencejudgments recorded throughout. Multiple models have beendeveloped to predict one-off judgments of performance, whichhave often distinguished between peoples’ biases about theirgeneral ability in a domain and their sensitivity to correctness.We propose a rational model of sequential self-assessmentwhich allows us to make predictions about each individualseparately—unlike in the one-off case which looks exclusivelyat the population level—and to identify, in addition to bias andsensitivity, the extent to which individuals’ beliefs are respon-sive to their most recent evidence over the course of a task. Wefit our model to data where participants solve algebraic equa-tions and show that bias, sensitivity, and responsiveness varymeaningfully across participants.",
    "language": "eng",
    "license": {
        "name": "",
        "short_name": "",
        "text": null,
        "url": ""
    },
    "keywords": [
        {
            "word": "Bayesian modeling; Monte Carlo methods; parti-cle filter; self-assessment; metacognition"
        }
    ],
    "section": "Events, Actions, and Sequencing",
    "is_remote": true,
    "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/4mc5q6gx",
    "frozenauthors": [
        {
            "first_name": "Rachel",
            "middle_name": "A.",
            "last_name": "Jansen",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of California, Berkeley",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Anna",
            "middle_name": "N.",
            "last_name": "Rafferty",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "Carleton College",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Thomas",
            "middle_name": "L.",
            "last_name": "Griffiths",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "Princeton University",
            "department": ""
        }
    ],
    "date_submitted": null,
    "date_accepted": null,
    "date_published": "2020-01-01T18:00:00Z",
    "render_galley": null,
    "galleys": [
        {
            "label": "PDF",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/29411/galley/19271/download/"
        }
    ]
}