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{ "pk": 29655, "title": "Children affirm the possibility of improbable events when they are similar to a\nknown event", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "Children often judge that strange and improbable events are\nimpossible, whereas adults usually accept the possibility of\nsuch events. This shows that children’s reasoning about\npossibility is immature, but it remains unclear how children\nreason about the possibility of improbable events. We explore\nwhether children use a novel event’s similarity to a known\nevent to infer whether the event can happen. We told 4- to 6-\nyear-olds (N=120) either ordinary or improbable facts and then\nasked if a related improbable event was also possible. The facts\ncontained no causal information that could be extended to the\noccurrence of a similar event. Children who heard improbable\nfacts more often agreed that similar improbable events were\npossible than children who heard ordinary facts. This suggests\nthat the mere knowledge that an event can happen influences\nchildren’s beliefs about the possibility of other unfamiliar-but-\nsimilar events.", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [ { "word": "possibility; causality; improbable events;\navailability heuristic; conceptual development" } ], "section": "Poster Session 1", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/4085z7d3", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "Brandon", "middle_name": "W.", "last_name": "Goulding", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Ori", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Friedman", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "2020-01-01T18:00:00Z", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/29655/galley/19512/download/" } ] }