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{ "pk": 31788, "title": "Attenuation of Belief Perserverance In a Covariation Judgement Task", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "A wide variety of judgment tasks have shown that\nonce a reasoner favors a hypothesis, encountering\nevidence which contradicts it might not, in and of\nitself, dislodge that hypothesis. T h e interaction of\nprior belief and n e w evidence w a s studied in a\ncovariation judgment task where subjects monitored\nmultiple predictor-outcome relationships. Each\nrelationship w a s programmed to reflect a strong\npositive contingency in a first phase, but in the\nsecond phase the contingency w a s negative,\ndisconfirming the acquired expectation. For two of\nthese relationships, the negative evidence w a s framed\nas positive evidence for alternative relationships,\nwhile in a third relationship, the negative evidence\nw a s not presented as supporting alternative\nexplanations. Subjective contingency estimates\nindicated that the negative contingency w a s\nrecognized in all three conditions. Belief\nperseverance, as measured by the likelihood of\npredicting the outcome on trials where the original\npredictor variable w a s present, w a s the strongest in\nthe condition v^thout alternatives. These results\nsupport the notion that belief change is a function of\nthe negative evidence pertaining to that belief and the\npresence of alternative explanations which seek their\nsupport from that same evidence.", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [], "section": "Submitted Presentations", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/5xj424kb", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "Frederic", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Vallee-Tourangeau", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "McGill University", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "A.G.", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Baker", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "McGill University", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "1993-01-01T18:00:00Z", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/31788/galley/22856/download/" } ] }