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{
    "pk": 38354,
    "title": "A review essay on End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites,  and the Path of Political Disintegration by Peter  Turchin (Penguin Random House 2023)",
    "subtitle": null,
    "abstract": "In End Times, Peter Turchin takes us on three journeys: One is his personal history  of the discovery of patterns in history, which form the basis for his development of  cliodyamics; a second is his tracing of the primary pattern, namely how elite  overproduction and popular immiseration have repeatedly led to state  breakdowns across history; and third is the history of the United States, reprising  and updating his findings in Age of Discord (Turchin 2017). The journeys converge  on a rather distressing endpoint, however: Turchin has found that the pattern of  state breakdown that recurs across history is now unfolding in the United States;  and in 75% of the times this pattern has been seen in past societies, it led to some  form of convulsive state breakdown, including revolution or civil war.",
    "language": "en",
    "license": {
        "name": "Creative Commons Attribution 4.0",
        "short_name": "CC BY 4.0",
        "text": "Attribution — You must give appropriate credit, provide a link to the license, and indicate if changes were made. You may do so in any reasonable manner, but not in any way that suggests the licensor endorses you or your use.\n\nNo additional restrictions — You may not apply legal terms or technological measures that legally restrict others from doing anything the license permits.",
        "url": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0"
    },
    "keywords": [],
    "section": "Book Reviews",
    "is_remote": true,
    "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/8cs3q9xt",
    "frozenauthors": [
        {
            "first_name": "Jack",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Goldstone",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "",
            "department": "None"
        }
    ],
    "date_submitted": "2023-12-31T16:17:27Z",
    "date_accepted": "2023-12-31T16:17:27Z",
    "date_published": "2023-12-31T16:19:42Z",
    "render_galley": null,
    "galleys": [
        {
            "label": "",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cliodynamics/article/38354/galley/28840/download/"
        }
    ]
}