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{
    "pk": 24222,
    "title": "Opinion Averaging versus Argument Exchange",
    "subtitle": null,
    "abstract": "Opinion averaging is a common means of judgment aggregation that is employed in the service of crowd wisdom effects. In this paper, we use simulations with agent-based models to highlight contexts in which opinion averaging leads to poor outcomes. Specifically, we illustrate the conditions under which the optimal posterior prescribed by a normative model of Bayesian argument exchange diverges from the mean belief that would be arrived at via simple averaging. The theoretical and practical implications of this are discussed.",
    "language": "eng",
    "license": {
        "name": "",
        "short_name": "",
        "text": null,
        "url": ""
    },
    "keywords": [
        {
            "word": "Philosophy; Psychology; Agent-based Modeling; Bayesian modeling"
        }
    ],
    "section": "Papers with Poster Presentation",
    "is_remote": true,
    "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/9d14q4tv",
    "frozenauthors": [
        {
            "first_name": "Ulrike",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Hahn",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "Birkbeck, University of London",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Leon",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Assaad",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Jason",
            "middle_name": "W.",
            "last_name": "Burton",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "Copenhagen Business School",
            "department": ""
        }
    ],
    "date_submitted": null,
    "date_accepted": null,
    "date_published": "2024-01-01T18:00:00Z",
    "render_galley": null,
    "galleys": [
        {
            "label": "PDF",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/24222/galley/13818/download/"
        },
        {
            "label": "PDF",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/24222/galley/21433/download/"
        }
    ]
}