Article Instance

HTTP 200 OK
Allow: GET
Content-Type: application/json
Vary: Accept

{
    "pk": 26506,
    "title": "Definitely maybe and possibly even probably: efficient communication ofhigher-order uncertainty",
    "subtitle": null,
    "abstract": "Possibility and probability expressions, like possibly or prob-ably, are frequently assumed to communicate that the proba-bility of a proposition is above a certain threshold. Most pre-vious empirical research on these expressions has focused oncases of known objective chance: if the true objective proba-bility is given, would a speaker use possibly, probably or oneof their kin? Here, we investigate the use of probability expres-sions when speakers have subjective uncertainty about objec-tive chance, i.e., higher-order uncertainty. Experimental datasuggest that speakers’ choices of a probability expression is acomplex function of their state of higher-order uncertainty. Weformulate a computational probabilistic model of pragmaticspeaker behavior that explains the experimental data.",
    "language": "eng",
    "license": {
        "name": "",
        "short_name": "",
        "text": null,
        "url": ""
    },
    "keywords": [
        {
            "word": "uncertainty; probability; experimental pragmatics;computational modeling"
        }
    ],
    "section": "Papers",
    "is_remote": true,
    "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/02j8k2r2",
    "frozenauthors": [
        {
            "first_name": "Michele",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Herbstritt",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of T ̈ubingen",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Michael",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Franke",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of T ̈ubingen",
            "department": ""
        }
    ],
    "date_submitted": null,
    "date_accepted": null,
    "date_published": "2016-01-01T18:00:00Z",
    "render_galley": null,
    "galleys": [
        {
            "label": "PDF",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/26506/galley/16142/download/"
        }
    ]
}