Article Instance

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{
    "pk": 27205,
    "title": "Failure to use probability of success in deciding whether to pursue onegoal or two.",
    "subtitle": null,
    "abstract": "Difficult tasks should be attempted one at a time, while easytasks can be undertaken in parallel. Reinforcing our previ-ous conclusion that people are surprisingly poor at applyingthis logic, we find people fail to select standing positions thatmaximize their probability of success in throwing a beanbaginto one of two possible hoops. We asked participants to ex-plicitly report their odds of successfully throwing a beanbaginto each hoop from the location they had chosen to stand,and estimates were highly accurate. Nonetheless, participantsfailed to use estimates of success appropriately to maximizesuccess, suggesting a failure of insight, rather than limited orinaccurate information, can account for suboptimal decisionsabout standing position.",
    "language": "eng",
    "license": {
        "name": "",
        "short_name": "",
        "text": null,
        "url": ""
    },
    "keywords": [
        {
            "word": "Bounded Rationality; Optimal Behaviour;Awareness; Decision Making."
        }
    ],
    "section": "Posters: Papers",
    "is_remote": true,
    "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/20g339ds",
    "frozenauthors": [
        {
            "first_name": "Warren",
            "middle_name": "R.G",
            "last_name": "James",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "The Univerity of Aberdeen",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Alasdair",
            "middle_name": "D.F.",
            "last_name": "Clarke",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "The University of Essex",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Amelia",
            "middle_name": "R.",
            "last_name": "Hunt",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "The Univerity of Aberdeen",
            "department": ""
        }
    ],
    "date_submitted": null,
    "date_accepted": null,
    "date_published": "2017-01-01T18:00:00Z",
    "render_galley": null,
    "galleys": [
        {
            "label": "PDF",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/27205/galley/16841/download/"
        }
    ]
}