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{ "pk": 27224, "title": "A Toolbox of Methods for Probabilistic Inference", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "We propose that probabilistic inference is supported by a men-tal toolbox that includes sampling and symmetry-based rea-soning in addition to several other methods. To flesh out thisclaim we consider a spatial reasoning task and describe a num-ber of different methods for solving the task. Several recentprocess-level accounts of probabilistic inference have focusedon sampling, but we present an experiment that suggests thatsampling alone does not adequately capture people’s infer-ences about our task.", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [ { "word": "probability judgment; probability estimation; rea-soning; sampling; symmetry" } ], "section": "Posters: Papers", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/25f5s4rz", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "Charles", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Kemp", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "Carnegie Mellon University", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Caleb", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Eddy", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "Carnegie Mellon University", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "2017-01-01T18:00:00Z", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/27224/galley/16860/download/" } ] }