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{ "pk": 27273, "title": "The strategic advantages of micro-targeted campaigning: A proof of principleBayesian Agent-Based Model", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "Predicting the effect of persuasion campaigns is difficult, asbelief changes may cascade through a network. In recentyears, political campaigns have adopted micro-targetingstrategies that segment voters into fine-grained clusters formore specific targetting. At present, there is little evidencethat explores the efficiency of this method. Through anAgent-Based Model, the current paper provides a novelmethod for exploring predicted effects of strategic persuasioncampaigns.The voters in the model are rational and revise their beliefsin the propositions expounded by the politicians inaccordance with Bayesian belief updating through a sourcecredibility model.The model provides a proof of concept and shows strategicadvantages of micro-targeted campaigning. Despite havingonly little voter data allowing crude segmentation, the micro-targeted campaign consistently beat stochastic campaignswith the same reach. However, given substantially greaterreach, a positively perceived stochastic candidate can nullifyor beat a strategic persuasion campaigns.", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [ { "word": "Agent-Based Model; Persuasion; Strategiccampaigns; Politics; Voting simulation" } ], "section": "Posters: Papers", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/55f2z6rt", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "Jens", "middle_name": "Koed", "last_name": "Madsen", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "University of Oxford", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Toby", "middle_name": "D.", "last_name": "Pilditch", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "University College London", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "2017-01-01T18:00:00Z", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/27273/galley/16909/download/" } ] }