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{ "pk": 27316, "title": "Abductive, Causal, and Counterfactual ConditionalsUnder Incomplete Probabilistic Knowledge", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "We study abductive, causal, and non-causal conditionals inindicative and counterfactual formulations using probabilis-tic truth table tasks under incomplete probabilistic knowledge(N = 80). We frame the task as a probability-logical inferenceproblem. The most frequently observed response type acrossall conditions was a class of conditional event interpretationsof conditionals; it was followed by conjunction interpreta-tions. An interesting minority of participants neglected someof the relevant imprecision involved in the premises when in-ferring lower or upper probability bounds on the target con-ditional/counterfactual (“halfway responses”). We discuss theresults in the light of coherence-based probability logic and thenew paradigm psychology of reasoning", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [ { "word": "abductive conditionals; causal conditionals; coun-terfactuals; indicative conditionals; psychological experiment;uncertain argument form; probabilistic truth table task" } ], "section": "Posters: Papers", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/7j66f9kd", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "Niki", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Pfeifer", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "LMU Munich", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Leena", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Tulkki", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "University of Helsinki", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "2017-01-01T18:00:00Z", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/27316/galley/16952/download/" } ] }