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{
    "pk": 27431,
    "title": "Desires influence 4- to 6-year-old children’s probabilistic judgments",
    "subtitle": null,
    "abstract": "Research on wishful thinking suggests that desires bias adult’s probability judgments. Previous research has yet toexplore if this extends to young children. In Experiment 1, 260 4- and 6-year-olds in the U.S. and Peru played a card game,where selecting a desirable card was unlikely. In Experiment 2, 200 4- to 6-year-old children were shown a bag of plasticeggs; a few contained desirable prizes. Children were asked to make predictions about what card / egg would be randomlyselected. Answers were compared to control conditions in which probability was comparable, but children had no reason todesire a specific outcome. In control conditions, children tended to state that the majority card/ egg would be selected. In theexperimental conditions, children were more likely to state that the desirable (and improbable) card/ egg would be selected.Results suggest that a desire bias extends to children as young as 4.",
    "language": "eng",
    "license": {
        "name": "",
        "short_name": "",
        "text": null,
        "url": ""
    },
    "keywords": [],
    "section": "Posters: Papers",
    "is_remote": true,
    "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/87p3b6h5",
    "frozenauthors": [
        {
            "first_name": "Adrienne",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Wente",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of California, Berkeley",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Mariel",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Goddu",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of California, Berkeley",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Elyanah",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Posner",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of California, Berkeley",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Teresa",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Garcia",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of California, Berkeley",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Mar ́ia",
            "middle_name": "Fern ́andez",
            "last_name": "Flecha",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "Pontificia Universidad Cat ́olica del Per ́u",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Alison",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Gopnik",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of California, Berkeley",
            "department": ""
        }
    ],
    "date_submitted": null,
    "date_accepted": null,
    "date_published": "2017-01-01T10:00:00-08:00",
    "render_galley": null,
    "galleys": [
        {
            "label": "PDF",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/27431/galley/17067/download/"
        }
    ]
}