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{
    "pk": 27756,
    "title": "Casual Structure Learning with Continuous Variables in Continuous Time",
    "subtitle": null,
    "abstract": "Interventions, time, and continuous-valued variables are all\npotentially powerful cues to causation. Furthermore, when\nobserved over time, causal processes can contain feedback\nand oscillatory dynamics that make inference hard. We\npresent a generative model and framework for causal infer-\nence over continuous variables in continuous time based on\nOrnstein-Uhlenbeck processes. Our generative model pro-\nduces a stochastic sequence of evolving variable values that\nmanifest many dynamical properties depending on the nature\nof the causal relationships, and a learner’s interventions (man-\nual changes to the values of variables during a trial). Our\nmodel is also invertible, allowing us to benchmark participant\njudgments against an optimal model. We find that when in-\nteracting with systems acting according to this formalism peo-\nple directly compare relationships between individual variable\npairs rather than considering the full space of possible models,\nin accordance with a local computations model of causal learn-\ning (e.g., Fernbach & Sloman, 2009). The formalism presented\nhere provides researchers in causal cognition with a powerful\nframework for studying dynamic systems and presents oppor-\ntunities for other areas in cognitive psychology such as control\nproblems.",
    "language": "eng",
    "license": {
        "name": "",
        "short_name": "",
        "text": null,
        "url": ""
    },
    "keywords": [
        {
            "word": "Casual learning"
        },
        {
            "word": "Continuous time"
        },
        {
            "word": "Continuous variables"
        },
        {
            "word": "Intervention"
        }
    ],
    "section": "Publication-based-Talks",
    "is_remote": true,
    "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/3k68c185",
    "frozenauthors": [
        {
            "first_name": "Zachary",
            "middle_name": "J",
            "last_name": "Davis",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "New York University",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Neil",
            "middle_name": "R",
            "last_name": "Bramley",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "New York University",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Bob",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Rehder",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "New York University",
            "department": ""
        }
    ],
    "date_submitted": null,
    "date_accepted": null,
    "date_published": "2018-01-01T18:00:00Z",
    "render_galley": null,
    "galleys": [
        {
            "label": "PDF",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/27756/galley/17396/download/"
        }
    ]
}