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{
    "pk": 27802,
    "title": "Modeling the Dunning-Kruger Effect: A Rational Account of Inaccurate Self-Assessment",
    "subtitle": null,
    "abstract": "Self-assessment, or the evaluation of one’s ability on a task, is\nwidely perceived as a fundamental skill, yet in most studies,\npeople are found to be poorly calibrated to their own abilities.\nSome results seem to show poorer calibration for low perform-\ners than for high performers. This effect has been explained\nin multiple ways: it could indicate worse metacognitive abil-\nity among the low performers (the “Dunning-Kruger” effect),\nor simply regression to the mean. To tease apart these expla-\nnations we develop a Bayesian model of self-assessment and\nevaluate its predictions in two experiments. Our results suggest\nthat poor self-assessment is caused by the influence of prior be-\nliefs and imperfect skill at determining whether a problem was\nsolved correctly or not, and offer only weak support for of a\nrelationship between metacognitive ability and performance.",
    "language": "eng",
    "license": {
        "name": "",
        "short_name": "",
        "text": null,
        "url": ""
    },
    "keywords": [
        {
            "word": "self-assessment"
        },
        {
            "word": "Logical reasoning"
        },
        {
            "word": "metacognition"
        },
        {
            "word": "Bayesian modeling"
        }
    ],
    "section": "Publication-based-Talks",
    "is_remote": true,
    "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/5fh7m0zt",
    "frozenauthors": [
        {
            "first_name": "Rachel",
            "middle_name": "A",
            "last_name": "Jansen",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "UC Berkley",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Anna",
            "middle_name": "N",
            "last_name": "Rafferty",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "Carleton College",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Thomas",
            "middle_name": "L",
            "last_name": "Griffiths",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "UC Berkley",
            "department": ""
        }
    ],
    "date_submitted": null,
    "date_accepted": null,
    "date_published": "2018-01-01T18:00:00Z",
    "render_galley": null,
    "galleys": [
        {
            "label": "PDF",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/27802/galley/17442/download/"
        }
    ]
}