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{ "pk": 27893, "title": "Assessing Singular Causation: The Role of Casual Latencies", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "Singular causation queries require an assessment of whethera singular co-occurrence of two events c and e was causal orsimply coincidental. The current study builds on our previ-ous research (Stephan & Waldmann, 2018) in which we pro-posed a computational model of singular causation judgments.The model highlights that singular causation judgments needto take into account the power of the target cause C and ofalternative causes A, as well as the possibility of preemption.What was missing was a detailed model allowing us to esti-mate the probability of preemption of a target cause by thealternative causes. The present research fills this gap by elab-orating the temporal assumptions that might enter assessmentsof singular causation. We focus on assumptions about tempo-ral precedence between target and alternative causes, with aspecific focus on assumptions about causal latency. We reportthe results of two new experiments supporting the model.", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [ { "word": "Singular causation" }, { "word": "casual attribution" }, { "word": "preemption" }, { "word": "time" }, { "word": "Casual reasoning" }, { "word": "Computational Modeling" } ], "section": "Publication-based-Talks", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/5mv0m23d", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "Simon", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Stephan", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "University of Gottingen", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Ralf", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Mayrhofer", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "University of Gottingen", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Michael", "middle_name": "R", "last_name": "Waldmann", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "University of Gottingen", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "2018-01-01T10:00:00-08:00", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/27893/galley/17531/download/" } ] }