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{ "pk": 28544, "title": "Limits on the Use of Simulation in Physical Reasoning", "subtitle": null, "abstract": "In this paper, we describe three experiments involving simplephysical judgments and predictions, and argue their results aregenerally inconsistent with three core commitments of proba-bilistic mental simulation theory (PMST). The first experimentshows that people routinely fail to track the spatio-temporalidentity of objects. The second experiment shows that peopleoften incorrectly reverse the order of consequential physicalevents when making physical predictions. Finally, we demon-strate a physical version of the conjunction fallacy where par-ticipants rate the probability of two joint events as more likelyto occur than a constituent event of that set. These results high-light the limitations or boundary conditions of simulation the-ory.", "language": "eng", "license": { "name": "", "short_name": "", "text": null, "url": "" }, "keywords": [ { "word": "intuitive physics; mental simulation; inference;conjunction fallacy" } ], "section": "Papers with Oral Presentations", "is_remote": true, "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/2rs3b62r", "frozenauthors": [ { "first_name": "Ethan", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Ludwin-Peery", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "New York University", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Neil", "middle_name": "R.", "last_name": "Bramley", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "University of Edinburgh", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Ernest", "middle_name": "", "last_name": "Davis", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "New York University", "department": "" }, { "first_name": "Todd", "middle_name": "M.", "last_name": "Gureckis", "name_suffix": "", "institution": "New York University", "department": "" } ], "date_submitted": null, "date_accepted": null, "date_published": "2019-01-01T18:00:00Z", "render_galley": null, "galleys": [ { "label": "PDF", "type": "pdf", "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/28544/galley/18415/download/" } ] }