Article Instance

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{
    "pk": 33180,
    "title": "Heuristics Used in Reasoning with Multiple Causes and Effects",
    "subtitle": null,
    "abstract": "Two experiments investigate the conjunction fallacy (judging that conjunctive probabilities are higher than the probabilities of the constituents). The conjunction fallacy was much less for P(E|C) tasks than for P(C|E) tasks. The results are explained in terms of the way people interpret the conditional probabilities. We argue that people prefer to reason from cause to effect (cause-to-effect reasoning heuristic), and for that reason, the instructions given for P(C|E) tasks were misinterpreted, resulting in apparent fallacy. In addition, we provide evidence showing that likelihood judgments are higher with more evidence (more-is-better heuristic).",
    "language": "eng",
    "license": {
        "name": "",
        "short_name": "",
        "text": null,
        "url": ""
    },
    "keywords": [],
    "section": "Long Papers",
    "is_remote": true,
    "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/4ns3q3wh",
    "frozenauthors": [
        {
            "first_name": "Woo-Kyoung",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Ahn",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "Department of Psychology, Yale University",
            "department": ""
        },
        {
            "first_name": "Brian",
            "middle_name": "A.",
            "last_name": "Nosek",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "Department of Psychology, Yale University",
            "department": ""
        }
    ],
    "date_submitted": null,
    "date_accepted": null,
    "date_published": "1998-01-01T18:00:00Z",
    "render_galley": null,
    "galleys": [
        {
            "label": "PDF",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cognitivesciencesociety/article/33180/galley/24240/download/"
        }
    ]
}