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{
    "pk": 38198,
    "title": "Modeling the large-scale demographic changes of the Old World",
    "subtitle": null,
    "abstract": "I investigate the predictive behavior of a simple demographic model for agrarian empires in several Old World geographies between 1500BCE and 1500CE. I estimate and bound key model parameters from two historical datasets. I find that quasi-uniform carrying capacities and two net birth rates suffice to predict most Old World agrarian empire demographics in this period. Analysis suggests that a doubling of agricultural intensification occurred throughout most of the Old World circa 1000CE.",
    "language": "en",
    "license": null,
    "keywords": [
        {
            "word": "demographics"
        },
        {
            "word": "Birth rate"
        },
        {
            "word": "carrying capacity"
        }
    ],
    "section": "Article",
    "is_remote": true,
    "remote_url": "https://escholarship.org/uc/item/4vj6k3bm",
    "frozenauthors": [
        {
            "first_name": "James",
            "middle_name": "",
            "last_name": "Bennett",
            "name_suffix": "",
            "institution": "University of Washington",
            "department": "None"
        }
    ],
    "date_submitted": "2015-05-28T15:47:34Z",
    "date_accepted": "2015-05-28T15:47:34Z",
    "date_published": "2015-06-30T07:00:00Z",
    "render_galley": null,
    "galleys": [
        {
            "label": "",
            "type": "pdf",
            "path": "https://journalpub.escholarship.org/cliodynamics/article/38198/galley/28753/download/"
        }
    ]
}