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Preprints

There are 6333 Preprints listed.

Health Impacts of Climate Change on Children and Adolescents: A Protocol for Review of Reviews

RILWAN YAHAYA, SALIFU SHARIF ALHASSAN, ROSEMARY SITSOFE AYEBI-ARTHUR, et al.

Published: 2025-12-24
Subjects: Public Health

Introduction Climate change is a contemporary phenomenon of a grave concern to the global public health. Climate change events like extreme heat, rising sea levels, floods, food insecurity and others, significantly affect local, regional, and global life conditions. The climate crisis affects the health of the elderly, adults, workers, children and adolescents. However, climate change events are [...]

Community-Oriented Data Integration and Communication Framework for Streamflow Forecast Models and Flood Inundation Map Products

Kento Sugiyama, Carlos Erazo Ramirez, Ibrahim Demir

Published: 2025-12-24
Subjects: Civil Engineering, Engineering, Environmental Engineering, Hydraulic Engineering, Water Resource Management

Access to critical flood risk information is often limited by expert-driven workflows that require specialized software, representing a barrier to stakeholder engagement and effective science communication. This study presents a generalized web-based framework that integrates federal datasets for real-time scenario-based flood forecasting and mapping at the CONUS scale. By leveraging [...]

Assessing the effects of restoration and conservation on gaseous carbon fluxes and climate mitigation capacity across six European coastal wetlands

Miguel Cabrera-Brufau, Camille Minaudo, Katrin Attermeyer, et al.

Published: 2025-12-23
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Climate, Earth Sciences, Fresh Water Studies

Coastal wetlands play a substantial role in regulating Earth’s climate through exchanges of greenhouse gases (GHGs). Current European policies promote widespread coastal wetland restoration to reverse historical losses and ongoing pressures. However, substantial uncertainty remains regarding how CO₂ and CH₄ fluxes respond to restoration across different coastal wetland types and whether these [...]

Pyrogeography of extraordinary wildfires

Calum Cunningham, Grant J. Williamson, John Abatzoglou, et al.

Published: 2025-12-23
Subjects: Earth Sciences

Extraordinary wildfires – defined by anomalous fire behaviour, physical attributes, paleo-ecological context, spatiotemporal scales, or consequences – have emerged as defining features of the global wildfire crisis. Extraordinary wildfires have profound impacts on ecosystems, climate, air quality, and human societies. In this Review, we characterise key dimensions of extraordinary wildfires, [...]

Spatial Clustering and Reservoir Analysis: An Expert-Guided Synergy Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) Machine Learning Technique on Volve and Norne Fields

Jakub Marek Cebula, Mohamed Hassan Abdalla Idris, Shamsul Masum, et al.

Published: 2025-12-23
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Engineering, Geology, Geotechnical Engineering, Other Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Sedimentology

This study introduces an expert-guided application for clustering production wells using Machine Learning (ML), focusing on the Volve and Norne Field datasets to optimise reservoir analysis and decision-making. The Dynamic Time Warping (DTW) algorithm was employed for clustering and further enhanced by spatial visualisation through Voronoi polygons on topographic maps. The study presents a [...]

DYCOVE: A Python package for coupling dynamic vegetation processes with hydro-morphodynamic models

Nelson Tull, Muriel Z. M. Brückner

Published: 2025-12-23
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Vegetation growth in coastal environments plays an important role in shaping coastal morphology (Kirwan et al., 2016; Kleinhans et al., 2018; Mariotti & Fagherazzi, 2010; Schwarz et al., 2018; Temmerman et al., 2005, 2007). Hydrodynamic and morphodynamic (numerical) models are used widely for understanding the processes that impact coastal systems, and they inform management strategies for [...]

Climate mitigation benefits emerge within a decade

Assaf Shmuel, Niklas Schwind, Kai Kornhuber, et al.

Published: 2025-12-23
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Discernible differences in global climate responses under varying greenhouse gas emission scenarios are commonly assumed to emerge only after 20 to 30 years. Here we show that mitigation benefits are detectable within a decade (9±6 years) over the global land area when high-resolution gridded climate data are analysed with a machine learning approach. By retaining spatial information, we uncover [...]

Spatio-temporal accessibility modelling with mobile and GTFS data: Insights from Helsinki

Slawomir Goliszek

Published: 2025-12-22
Subjects: Social and Behavioral Sciences

This paper presents a spatially explicit method for evaluating urban accessibility using anonymised mobile phone origin-destination data combined with GTFS-based public transport travel times. Focusing on the Helsinki Capital Region, we apply cumulative and potential accessibility metrics across multiple transport modes to assess spatial and temporal variation in mobility patterns. The [...]

HydroVerse Education: An AI-Assisted Education Framework for Immersive Learning and Training Environments

Ali Rahmani, Yusuf Sermet, Ibrahim Demir

Published: 2025-12-22
Subjects: Adult and Continuing Education, Computer Engineering, Educational Methods, Engineering Education, Environmental Education, Environmental Engineering, Environmental Sciences

Hydroinformatics education has traditionally been constrained by pedagogical approaches that fail to adequately convey the complexity of water systems. Virtual Reality (VR) presents a transformative solution by enabling interactive and experiential learning. This study introduces HydroVerse Education, an immersive virtual classroom environment designed to modernize hydroinformatics education by [...]

Adapting Caspian Sea ports to climate-induced water level declines: The case of Aktau

Darren Lumbroso, Gina Tsarouchi, Andrew Campbell, et al.

Published: 2025-12-19
Subjects: Civil and Environmental Engineering

The Caspian Sea is the world's largest inland body of water. It is critical for regional trade through the Trans-Caspian International Transport Route (TITR), which links South-East Asia and China to Europe. Aktau Port in Kazakhstan is strategically important, located on key international transport routes like the TITR. Over the past 30 years, the Caspian Sea’s water levels have dropped from [...]

Regional Characterization of Coal Resources in the U.S. Gulf Coast

Peter D. Warwick, Robert C. Reedy, Bridget R. Scanlon

Published: 2025-12-19
Subjects: Physical Sciences and Mathematics

There is increasing interest in extracting critical minerals (CM), including rare earth elements (REE), from coals in the United States to address the overreliance on imported REE. The U.S. Gulf Coast and the Williston basins are the two major lignite-bearing basins within the country. Recent REE and CM studies of the lignite in these basins have indicated that the coals may be a viable source [...]

The impact of extreme temperatures on respiratory mortality in Brazil: evaluating regional adaptations to different thermal environments

Guilherme Coelho, Charles M'poca Charles, Clarimar José Coelho, et al.

Published: 2025-12-19
Subjects: Public Health

We conducted a nationwide ecological time-series study to quantify the association between ambient temperature and respiratory mortality across Brazil's diverse climates. Using data from 520 municipalities (population ≥50,000) from 2010 to 2020, we analysed 1,008,157 respiratory deaths (ICD-10 J00–J99) using distributed-lag non-linear models (lags 0–21 days) with quasi-Poisson regression, [...]

Explainable Machine Learning for Wheat Biomass Integrating Sentinel-1/2, PlanetScope and In-Situ Weather Data

Francisco Zambrano, Abel Herrera, Mauricio Molina-Roco

Published: 2025-12-19
Subjects: Agriculture, Life Sciences

Global food security faces increasing challenges from climate change, making accurate monitoring of essential crops like wheat (Triticum aestivum) critical. This research introduces an explainable machine learning (ML) framework to estimate and forecast wheat above-ground biomass (AGB) in central Chile across the 2020–2023 growing seasons. The study uses a two-stage approach: first, in-season AGB [...]

Gutenberg-Richter-type earthquake size distributions: maximum likelihood estimation, unbiased estimation, and Bayesian forecasting

Sander Osinga, Dirk Kraaijpoel, Frans Aben, et al.

Published: 2025-12-18
Subjects: Geophysics and Seismology

Characterizing earthquake size distributions using the Gutenberg-Richter (GR) law is ubiquitous in seismology. According to the GR law, earthquake magnitudes follow an exponential distribution, with a rate parameter commonly represented by the b-value. For many applications, including seismic hazard and risk assessment, estimating the b-value is therefore a common procedure. However, the [...]

A review on ice-cores from temperate glaciers: processes, signal preservation, and paleoclimatic significance

Giovanni Baccolo, Anja Eichler, Theo Jenk, et al.

Published: 2025-12-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences

Temperate glaciers, characterized by ice at the pressure melting point and the coexistence of solid and liquid water, are generally considered unsuitable as natural archives because meltwater undermines the paleoclimatic signals they hold. Historically, ice-core studies have favoured cold glaciers. However, the ongoing atmospheric warming is driving many formerly cold portions of glaciers toward [...]

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