Preprints
Filtering by Subject: Earth Sciences
Robust Uneven Shift of Extreme Storm Surges Observed in Data Sparse Northeast Indian Ocean Cities
Published: 2026-03-20
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Engineering, Risk Analysis, Statistics and Probability
Reanalysis-driven storm surge datasets enable extreme analysis in data-sparse regions, but most studies translate these time series into extremes using a single statistical model, leaving model-selection uncertainty unquantified. In this study, we analyze ERA5-forced surge residual dataset (1950–2024) from Copernicus Climate Change Service for 11 Northeast Indian Ocean (NIO) cities using an [...]
Investigating the application of LLMs to invertebrate palaeontology through the development of automated taxonomy assistants for brachiopod identification
Published: 2026-03-20
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Taxonomic identification is a central practice in palaeontology, underpinning biostratigraphic correlations, palaeobiogeographic reconstructions, and analyses of macroevolutionary patterns. Despite its importance, taxonomy depends on a limited number of specialists and on the synthesis of extensive descriptive literature that is often difficult to access. Recent developments in artificial [...]
Polymineralic synneusis in silicic magmas revealed by megacryst-inclusion orientation relationships
Published: 2026-03-19
Subjects: Earth Sciences
Crystal aggregation via synneusis is well-documented in many common igneous minerals, such as quartz and olivine. Synneusis is typically described as a monomineralic process whereby two crystals of the same mineral adhere in specific low-energy orientation relationships. In contrast, unlike minerals are generally assumed to be antipathetic. Nonetheless, the occurrence of polymineralic synneusis [...]
Transient liquid- and solid-dominated inflation of an upper crustal magma chamber: insights from the Carlingford Complex (Ireland)
Published: 2026-03-19
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geochemistry, Geology, Volcanology
Layered intrusions are the crystallised remnants of magma reservoirs and preserve a detailed record of magma storage, differentiation, and recharge processes in the upper crust. Their assembly is commonly categorised into two end-member emplacement regimes: long-lived liquid-dominated magma chambers, and incrementally assembled crystal-rich mush systems. These end-members are often presented as [...]
WetlandMapper: A Python package for automatic wetland mapping, dynamics classification, and cover-type characterisation from multispectral time-series data
Published: 2026-03-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences
Leveraging synthetic data for deep learning denoising and prediction of measured earthquake waveforms
Published: 2026-03-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geophysics and Seismology, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Single-station recordings of teleseismic earthquakes are inherently complex due to the superposition of numerous seismic phases and their contamination with noise, which can be particularly problematic in urban environments. A detailed knowledge of the wavefield generated by teleseismic earthquakes is critical for high-precision research facilities like those involved in photon science or gravity [...]
Are high-resolution urban datasets necessary for accurate heat exposure modelling in cities?
Published: 2026-03-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology
Accurately capturing the spatial variability of urban heat exposure is important for planning heat-resilient cities. While regional climate models have historically simplified urban characteristics, high-resolution urban morphological datasets now present an opportunity to produce spatially accurate heat maps. In this vein, this study evaluates four morphological datasets for Sydney, Australia in [...]
From "Ion-Adsorption" to "Ion-Adsorbed" Rare Earths: Terminological Drift, AI Paraphrasing, and the Erosion of Geochemical Precision
Published: 2026-03-18
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geochemistry
The rapid adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) tools for writing and paraphrasing is transforming scientific communication. While such tools can improve linguistic fluency, their misuse, particularly when employed to mechanically rephrase text, may introduce subtle but consequential distortions in scientific terminology. In disciplines such as geochemistry, where terminology is closely tied [...]
Experimental Investigation of Movement and Deposition of Woody-Debris Suspensions in Inclined Channel Tests
Published: 2026-03-17
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Engineering
Debris flows, which mobilize large volumes of water, sediment, and woody debris, pose significant risks to human communities and infrastructure. In wildfire-affected forested areas, the accumulation of woody debris in drainage channels is exacerbated, thereby increasing the potential for more hazardous debris flows. To examine the influence of woody debris on debris flow dynamics, an inclined [...]
Probabilistic modelling of pharmaceutical pollution risk from sewage treatment work discharges using a Bayesian Network: application to a Scottish river catchment
Published: 2026-03-17
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Engineering, Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Sciences, Hydrology, Pharmacology, Toxicology and Environmental Health, Statistical Models, Statistics and Probability, Water Resource Management
Pharmaceuticals are increasingly recognised as a class of emerging contaminants of concern in rivers. Their continuous release from human use and variable removal in sewage treatment works (STWs) can produce ecologically relevant concentrations and contribute to antimicrobial resistance. We developed a probabilistic catchment-scale model based on a Bayesian Network (BN) to quantify pharmaceutical [...]
Volcanic CO2 degassing and microbial carbon fixation in a caldera offshore
Published: 2026-03-15
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Microbiology and Microbial Ecology Life Sciences, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Volcanology
Calderas are subsided volcanic terrains formed by the destructive power of some of the largest volcanic eruptions on Earth. Many such depressions globally are today submerged by crater lakes or seawater, rendering them less accessible to scientific scrutiny, and hence more complicated to monitor during unrest. One of such systems is the restless, partly submerged Campi Flegrei caldera (CFc) near [...]
Territorially-Specialized Machine Learning Models for Wildfire Risk Prediction Across Argentina Using Satellite Data and H3 Hexagonal Grids
Published: 2026-03-15
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences
Wildfire risk prediction in large, ecologically diverse countries requires models that account for regional variation in fire drivers. We present GeoAlertAR-ML, a wildfire risk prediction system for Argentina that uses an ensemble of regionally specialized Random Forest classifiers operating over a national hexagonal grid of 13,231 H3 cells. Unlike global fire danger indices or single-model [...]
A terrain-aware approach for image-based urban flood monitoring
Published: 2026-03-13
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Sciences, Hydrology, Water Resource Management
Urban nuisance flooding is widespread, yet quantitative observations of its magnitude and spatial variability remain limited. Most image-based approaches provide only relative measures of flooded image fraction, while quantitative methods require surveyed ground control and three-dimensional reconstruction. We introduce a terrain aware, perspective weighted framework that converts flooded image [...]
Multi-decadal Barrier Island Fate Varies as a Function of Management Strategy
Published: 2026-03-12
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Barrier islands are highly dynamic components of sandy coastlines, making up 10% of coastlines globally. Barriers provide recreational opportunities, protect mainland communities from storms, support tourism, and provide ecologically important habitat. Using a spatially explicit barrier island model, CASCADE, calibrated to represent the historical dynamics of Ocracoke, a barrier island in the [...]
Evaluating global spectral unmixing techniques using imaging spectroscopy data for retrieval of green, non-photosynthetic vegetation, and soil fractional cover
Published: 2026-03-12
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Remote Sensing, Soil Science
Global estimates of fractional cover of green vegetation (GV), non-photosynthetic vegetation (NPV), and soil provide valuable information about the Earth system. As the new generation of Earth visible-to-shortwave infrared (VSWIR) imaging spectrometers take orbit, global fractional cover data will be obtainable with new and improved spectral unmixing algorithms. Using an ASD Field Spectrometer [...]