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Preprints

Filtering by Subject: Oil, Gas, and Energy

Geomodelling of multi-scenario non-stationary reservoirs with enhanced GANSim

Suihong Song, Tapan Mukerji, Celine Scheidt, et al.

Published: 2025-08-05
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Earth Sciences, Engineering, Geology, Geophysics and Seismology, Hydrology, Mining Engineering, Natural Resources and Conservation, Natural Resources Management and Policy, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Sedimentology, Stratigraphy

Reservoir geomodelling is critical for groundwater management, CO₂ storage, geothermal exploitation, and hydrocarbon exploration, yet traditional geostatistical methods like multiple-point statistics (MPS) struggle with simulating complex geological patterns. GANSim, a Generative Adversarial Networks-based geomodelling method, has proven effective for single-scenario stationary reservoirs, but [...]

Assessing uncertainty of source rock properties using Monte Carlo basin modeling – Application to Canning Basin, Australia

Jiayuan Huang, Tapan Mukerji

Published: 2025-07-23
Subjects: Applied Statistics, Earth Sciences, Engineering, Environmental Sciences, Geochemistry, Geology, Geophysics and Seismology, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Physical Sciences and Mathematics, Risk Analysis, Statistics and Probability, Stratigraphy

This study presents a Monte Carlo basin modeling framework for quantifying uncertainty in source rock property predictions by integrating geological, geophysical, and geochemical inputs. The approach accounts for variability in petrological parameters from rock physics inversion, paleo-erosion magnitudes, organic facies properties, and boundary conditions to simulate source rock properties such [...]

Screening Global Solar and Wind Energy Investment Potential Accounting for Drought and Surplus

Mengjie Zhang, Adam Nayak, Upmanu Lall

Published: 2025-07-14
Subjects: Environmental Engineering, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Risk Analysis, Sustainability

Climate-induced variability of solar and wind energy impacts renewable electricity scaling. Long duration renewable energy droughts, i.e., extended periods of renewable supply deficits, lead to contract penalties or use of thermo-electric sources, while long duration surpluses result in curtailment or in low energy prices and revenue. We present the first global assessment of the implied [...]

Satellite-based assessment of methane emissions from the Darvaza gas crater

Adriana Valverde, Itziar Irakulis-Loitxate, Javier Gorroño, et al.

Published: 2025-06-20
Subjects: Atmospheric Sciences, Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Sciences, Oil, Gas, and Energy

Methane (CH₄) is one of the most potent greenhouse gases, and the gas-burning Darvaza crater in Turkmenistan is a rare and persistent emitter. There are substantial uncertainties regarding the date of the crater formation (assumed to be either in 1963 or 1971), the ignition of the fire, and the relation between the fire intensity and methane release. In this study, we reconstruct the fire history [...]

Extrapolation Approaches for Creating Comprehensive Measurement-Based Methane Emissions Inventories

Bailey K. Fosdick, Zachary Weller, Hon Xing Wong, et al.

Published: 2025-06-07
Subjects: Environmental Indicators and Impact Assessment, Environmental Monitoring, Oil, Gas, and Energy

Measurement-based methane emissions inventories are essential for U.S. oil and natural gas operators to track their progress toward emissions targets, demonstrate the impact of improved operational and monitoring practices, and enable the scientific community to monitor methane budgets at various scales. However, translating raw emission measurement data, whether from continuous monitoring [...]

Time shift: The peak reduction potential of demand response with simple time-of-use pricing

Baxter Kamana-Williams, R. J. Hooper, Daniel Gnoth, et al.

Published: 2025-05-15
Subjects: Engineering, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Sustainability

Increasing electrification of energy systems, required for greenhouse gas emissions reductions, poses challenges for electricity systems from increased peak demand. Demand response can reduce peak demand, but acceptability is limited by consumer concerns about effort, complexity, and lack of control. This study assesses the potential of simple demand response programs using existing electricity [...]

Peak loads, health, and energy equality: The effects of demand-side electricity efficiency interventions

Baxter Kamana-Williams, R. J. Hooper, Jamie Silk, et al.

Published: 2025-05-15
Subjects: Engineering, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Sustainability

Electrification is key for climate change mitigation but, if unmanaged, risks increasing energy poverty, inequalities, and peak electricity demand. While demand response to reduce peak electricity demand has been the subject of extensive research, the effects of energy efficiency interventions for wider health system and socioeconomic outcomes are less studied. This study assesses the impact of [...]

Peak demand, consumer costs, and socioeconomic effects: Considerations for distributed generation and energy storage

Baxter Kamana-Williams, R. J. Hooper, Stella Steidl, et al.

Published: 2025-05-15
Subjects: Engineering, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Sustainability

Electrification is a key approach for reducing greenhouse gas emissions but will increase peak demand, challenging electricity systems. Distributed generation (DG) from solar photovoltaic (PV) panels and battery storage are often offered as potential solutions. This study uses a previously validated agent-based model of residential electricity demand to assess the impact of solar DG on peak [...]

PoMELO Passive Blind Test Results: Emissions detection and quantification

Thomas Barchyn, Michelle Clements, Tyler Gough, et al.

Published: 2025-02-19
Subjects: Environmental Monitoring, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Operations Research, Systems Engineering and Industrial Engineering

PoMELO Passive is a technology that combines vehicle-based pollution measurements from public roads with cloud-based software to: (i) detect emissions from oil and gas sites, and (ii) quantify emissions rates. Automated attribution and plume modeling algorithms provide results with little human intervention, facilitating large scale monitoring programs. PoMELO Passive is operationally deployed at [...]

Enhanced Oil Recovery using carbon dioxide directly captured from air does not enable carbon-neutral oil

Antonio Gasos, Ronny Pini, Viola Becattini, et al.

Published: 2025-01-24
Subjects: Chemical Engineering, Environmental Sciences, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

This study evaluates the feasibility of producing carbon neutral oil via CO2 Enhanced Oil Recovery (CO2-EOR) coupled with direct air capture. Existing analyses often provide case-specific insights based on short-term operations that do not encompass the full life cycle of reservoir exploitation. In contrast, we propose a novel, top-down approach based on mass and volume conservation, expanding [...]

Climate change impacts on compound renewable energy droughts under evolving infrastructure in the Western United States

Cameron Bracken, Nathalie Voisin, Kendall Mongird, et al.

Published: 2025-01-14
Subjects: Oil, Gas, and Energy, Power and Energy, Sustainability

If renewable energy resources continue to become a larger part of the generation mix in the United States (U.S.), so does the potential impact of prolonged periods of low wind and solar generation, known as variable renewable energy (VRE) droughts. In such a future, naturally occurring VRE droughts need to be evaluated for their potential impact on grid reliability. This study is the first of its [...]

Hydrogenotrophic metabolisms in the subsurface and their implications for underground hydrogen storage and natural hydrogen prospecting

Martina Cascone, Guillermo Climent Gargallo, Flavia Migliaccio, et al.

Published: 2025-01-08
Subjects: Biogeochemistry, Earth Sciences, Environmental Microbiology and Microbial Ecology Life Sciences, Oil, Gas, and Energy

Hydrogen is a fundamental electron donor in diverse microbial metabolisms and it is considered the energetic currency exchanged within microbial communities in anaerobic environments. Hydrogen is also the major actor in the transition to alternative low-carbon energy sources, primarily due to its dual role as energy source and energy carrier and to the production of water as a byproduct of its [...]

Seasonal compound renewable energy droughts in the Unites States

Cameron Bracken, Nathalie Voisin, Youngjun Son, et al.

Published: 2025-01-07
Subjects: Hydrology, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Power and Energy

Variable renewable energy (VRE) droughts are periods of low renewable electricity production due to natural variability in the weather and climate. These compound renewable energy droughts occur when two or more (typically wind and solar) generation sources are in low availability conditions at the same time. Compound wind and solar droughts are most commonly studied at the hourly and daily [...]

The potential for carbon dioxide storage in basaltic rocks of southern Brazil: An approach based on favorability analysis

João Paulo Guilherme Rodrigues Alves, Claudio Riccomini

Published: 2024-12-19
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geology, Oil, Gas, and Energy, Physical Sciences and Mathematics

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is a critical technology to mitigate climate change by reducing atmospheric CO₂. The Paraná Basin, with its extensive basaltic formations, offers potential for large-scale CO₂ storage. However, determining the most favorable areas for CCS remains challenging due to the complex interplay of geological, geochemical, and logistical factors. This study addresses this [...]

Effective permeability of fluvial lithofacies in the Bunter Sandstone Formation, UK

Shakhawat Hossain, Gary J Hampson, Carl Jacquemyn, et al.

Published: 2024-11-30
Subjects: Oil, Gas, and Energy, Sedimentology, Water Resource Management

Understanding effective permeability is crucial for predicting fluid migration and trapping in subsurface reservoirs. The Bunter Sandstone of North-West Europe hosts major groundwater and geothermal resources and is targeted for CO2 and hydrogen storage projects. Here the effective permeability of fluvial facies within the Bunter Sandstone Formation was assessed using facies-scale models. Twelve [...]

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