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Preprints

Filtering by Subject: Geography

Two decades of kilometer-scale daily PM2.5 from satellite observations and machine learning reveal geographically diverging exposure in Ghana

Abhishek Anand, Joe A Amooli, Selina Amoah, et al.

Published: 2026-06-06
Subjects: Artificial Intelligence and Robotics, Atmospheric Sciences, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Earth Sciences, Engineering, Environmental Engineering, Environmental Monitoring, Environmental Public Health, Environmental Sciences, Geographic Information Sciences, Geography, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Other Earth Sciences, Remote Sensing, Spatial Science

Exposure to fine particulate matter (PM2.5) is a major contributor to global burden of disease, yet air quality data remain sparse in many low- and middle-income countries, limiting nationwide monitoring and effective policy development. We address this gap by developing a high-resolution gridded (1 km × 1 km) dataset for daily surface PM2.5 concentrations in Ghana from 2005 to 2025 by training [...]

Climate overshoot and the insurability frontier: peak stress, domestic capacity, and market retreat risk

Architesh Panda

Published: 2026-06-04
Subjects: Environmental Sciences, Environmental Studies, Geography, Oceanography and Atmospheric Sciences and Meteorology, Planetary Sciences

Climate overshoot can create mid-century peaks in climate stress before end-century temperatures stabilize, but its implications for insurance availability remain poorly understood. We assess subnational insurance market exit risk under overshoot across 1,590 first-order administrative regions in 88 countries, covering 4.54 billion people. Combining ADM1-level multi-hazard climate stress, an [...]

Operationalising EMS-98 Damage Classification: A UAV-to-GIS Pipeline for Macroseismic Survey Support

Giovanni Galli, Marco Dubbini, FIlippo Bernardini, et al.

Published: 2026-05-22
Subjects: Computer Sciences, Databases and Information Systems, Geographic Information Sciences, Geography, Nature and Society Relations, Remote Sensing, Spatial Science

Post-earthquake macroseismic surveying often relies on ground-based visual inspections that are slow, costly, and difficult to scale in the immediate aftermath of a seismic event. Deep-learning damage detectors have advanced substantially in recent years, yet their outputs are rarely translated into operational deployment tools that yield a georeferenced dataframe of buildings aligned with the [...]

Multidimensional Inconsistency in Forest Ecosystem Representation: An NLP-Assisted Thematic Review

Oluwafemi David Bejide

Published: 2026-05-13
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Environmental Studies, Geography

Forest ecosystem monitoring increasingly relies on multisensor remote sensing approaches integrating optical imagery, synthetic aperture radar (SAR), and LiDAR observations to assess biomass, degradation, and ecosystem condition. However, these systems frequently generate inconsistent representations of the same ecosystem due to differences in sensor sensitivity, ecological complexity, scale [...]

What works in agrarian adaptation: a systematic assessment of CGIAR climate research evidence

Edward R Carr, Aditi Mukherji

Published: 2026-05-08
Subjects: Geography

Effective climate adaptation in agrarian settings is critical for the billions of people whose livelihoods depend on agriculture, yet evidence on what adaptation actions actually reduce climate risk remains fragmented and difficult to generalize. In this study we assess the effectiveness of agrarian adaptation using 403 empirical case studies published by CGIAR scientists and partners in [...]

Forest or tundra? How different vegetation reconstructions of Last Glacial landscapes in Europe may shape our perception of early human dispersal processes

Oliver A. Kern, Anne Dallmeyer, Andreas Maier, et al.

Published: 2026-05-08
Subjects: Earth Sciences, Geography, Human Geography, Nature and Society Relations, Paleobiology, Paleontology, Physical and Environmental Geography

Regional variability and long-term changes of past ecosystems likely had a strong impact on hunter-gatherer population dynamics, including the expansion of anatomically modern humans and the disappearance of Neanderthals. However, our understanding of these ecosystems remains limited, even when looking at large-scale patterns, such as the extent and distribution of forested areas. Vegetation [...]

Wildlife tourism in times of crisis: A critical discourse analysis of media coverage during the Covid-19 pandemic

Julia Wester, Caitlin Reisa, Catherine Macdonald

Published: 2026-05-07
Subjects: Geography

Tourism is a growing, if controversial, approach to wildlife conservation. Constructed on neoliberal ideological assumptions, tourism-as-conservation-strategies can reinforce social inequalities and patterns of historical oppression. This model of conservation and economic development is also vulnerable to global market trends and disruptions. In this paper we use content and critical discourse [...]

A Multi-Dimensional Framework for Diagnosing Inconsistencies in Remote Sensing-Based Ecosystem Assessment

Oluwafemi David Bejide

Published: 2026-05-04
Subjects: Environmental Sciences, Environmental Studies, Geography

Remote sensing-based ecosystem assessment increasingly relies on the integration of spectral, structural, and model-derived datasets; however, inconsistencies among these data sources can produce divergent representations of vegetation dynamics and carbon processes. This study proposes a multi-dimensional framework to diagnose such inconsistencies by integrating scale, dimensional, and variable [...]

Closing the Digital Gap in Nigerian Land Records: An Open-Source QGIS Plugin for Cadastral Survey Archiving and Spatial Management

Chukwuma Samuel Ugwu, Joe Odeh

Published: 2026-05-03
Subjects: Geographic Information Sciences, Geography, Human Geography, Nature and Society Relations, Other Geography, Physical and Environmental Geography, Remote Sensing, Spatial Science

Secure, retrievable cadastral records are foundational to land tenure security and effective land administration, yet most private cadastral surveying firms in Nigeria maintain survey records exclusively on paper, a structural limitation that prevents spatial querying, concurrent access, and long-term integrity verification across the 50-year archival period required by the Survey Co-ordination [...]

Evidence of non-additional pig manure offset projects

Grayson Badgley, Freya Chay

Published: 2026-04-26
Subjects: Geography

Each carbon offset represents the claim that one ton of CO₂ emissions has been avoided or removed from the atmosphere. For offsets to deliver real climate benefits, the emission reductions they represent must be “additional,” meaning they would not have occurred without financial support from the carbon market. Despite its importance, additionality has proven difficult to achieve in practice. [...]

Structural–carbon decoupling and forest structural thinning in degrading forests of Southwestern Nigeria using GEDI LiDAR and multi-sensor data fusion

Oluwafemi David Bejide, Kunle David Emiola, Hezekiah Daramola Olaniran

Published: 2026-04-13
Subjects: Environmental Sciences, Environmental Studies, Geography

Accurate monitoring of forest degradation requires indicators that capture both structural condition and carbon dynamics. While canopy height derived from spaceborne LiDAR is widely used as a proxy for forest condition, its ability to represent aboveground biomass (AGB) under ongoing degradation remains uncertain. This study examines the relationship between canopy height and AGB in tropical [...]

Seventeen city types define distinct pathways for climate mitigation and adaptation worldwide

Felix Creutzig, Alona Zharova, Florian Nachtigall, et al.

Published: 2026-04-01
Subjects: Computer Sciences, Environmental Studies, Geography, Planetary Sciences

 Understanding that cities are main arenas of climate action, it remains unclear which cities should focus on what kind of action taking a global comparative lens. Recent contributions identified four different types of cities across seven world regions, while others specified a huge case study literature database on cities and climate change biased towards established, stagnant, and megacities, [...]

No place to hide? Regional resilience and vulnerability to global catastrophic risk

Florian Ulrich Jehn, Maximilian Rössler, Luke Kemp, et al.

Published: 2026-03-27
Subjects: Agriculture, Earth Sciences, Environmental Sciences, Environmental Studies, Food Science, Forest Sciences, Geography, Public Health

What places on Earth are most resilient to global catastrophic risk (GCR)? We provide the first study of what locations are more resilient against the impacts of nuclear war, near-Earth objects, large-magnitude volcanic eruptions, large-scale cyberattacks, high altitude electromagnetic pulse, geomagnetic storms and pandemics. This shows there is no place on Earth which is resilient against all [...]

Spatiotemporal relationships, influencing factors and policy implications of coastal man–land system spatial resilience based on interpretable machine learning models: A case study of China’s southeastern coastal region

Huan Song, Zeyu Wang

Published: 2026-03-27
Subjects: Geography

Spatial resilience, as a projection of system resilience at the landscape scale, offers a novel spatial interpretation for analyzing man–land interactions in coastal zones. This study builds an evaluation system from “element-landscape-system” levels, based on the conceptual framework of spatial resilience in coastal man–land systems. It examines the spatiotemporal evolutionary features of [...]

Agricultural expansion and intensification in Brazil: A literature synthesis of dynamics, drivers, and implications

Haijun Li

Published: 2026-03-24
Subjects: Environmental Studies, Geographic Information Sciences, Geography, Human Geography, Nature and Society Relations, Other Geography, Physical and Environmental Geography, Remote Sensing, Social and Behavioral Sciences, Spatial Science

Brazil’s long-term agricultural development reflects a complex interplay between human-driven land-use change and natural ecosystems. Since the 1960s, agricultural production in Brazil has expanded rapidly, driven by global food demand and national economic growth, through two primary pathways: (1) agricultural expansion via conversion of natural vegetation, particularly forests, and (2) [...]

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