This is a Preprint and has not been peer reviewed. The published version of this Preprint is available: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.marpolbul.2021.112223. This is version 2 of this Preprint.
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Abstract
To predict the effects of climate change on marine ecosystems and the effectiveness of intervention and mitigation strategies, we need reliable marine ecosystem response models such as biogeochemical models that reproduce climate change effects. We reviewed marine
ecosystem parameters and processes that are modified by climate change and examined their representations in biogeochemical ecosystem models. The interactions among important aspects of marine ecosystem modelling are not often considered due to complexity: these include the use of multiple IPCC scenarios, ensemble modelling approach, independent calibration datasets, the consideration of changes in cloud cover, ocean currents, wind speed,
sea-level rise, storm frequency, storm intensity, and the incorporation of species adaptation to changing environmental conditions. Including our recommendations in future marine
modelling studies could help improve the accuracy and reliability of model predictions of climate change impacts on marine ecosystems.
DOI
https://doi.org/10.31223/X5WS3J
Subjects
Life Sciences, Physical Sciences and Mathematics
Keywords
temperature, pCO2, marine ecosystem, biogeochemical model
Dates
Published: 2020-10-27 22:30
Last Updated: 2021-03-17 20:19
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