State-dependence of Cenozoic thermal extremes

This is a Preprint and has not been peer reviewed. The published version of this Preprint is available: https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-00753-1. This is version 2 of this Preprint.

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Authors

B. B. Cael, Philip Goodwin

Abstract

Oxygen isotopes in sediments reflect Earth's past temperature, revealing a cooling over the Cenozoic punctuated by multimillenial thermal extreme events. These extremes are captured by the generalized extreme value distribution, and the distribution's shape changes with baseline temperature such that large thermal extremes are more likely in warmer climates. Anthropogenic warming has the potential to return the baseline climate state to one where large thermal extremes are more likely.

DOI

https://doi.org/10.31223/X5HK9B

Subjects

Earth Sciences

Keywords

Dates

Published: 2022-03-09 01:07

Last Updated: 2022-03-09 09:07

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License

CC BY Attribution 4.0 International

Additional Metadata

Data Availability (Reason not available):
Data are available from sources cited in the text.